The exiguous print
Kickoff: 2: 30 p.m. Saturday
Where: Booth Memorial Stadium, Lawrence
Radio: WHB (810 AM) in Kansas Metropolis, KFH (1240 AM) in Wichita
The motorway: Baylor by 17 1/2.
I admire the game notion that KU coach Lance Leipold and team fetch for attempting to live competitive in video games this season: merely be sound.
The Jayhawks fetch no longer had a turnover in their first two video games whereas furthermore limiting penalty yardage. KU it is far going to be the least proficient team in its final 10 contests … however if an opponent on any Saturday decides it wants to be generous and carry out a bunch of mistakes, the Jayhawks seem admire they’ll be titillating to swoop in and settle for a most likely victory.
KU played to this strategy final week in a 49-22 loss at No. 17 Coastal Carolina. The Jayhawks slowed it down and restricted possessions. Quarterback Jason Bean made a pair of enormous person plays. And due to the that, KU was easiest down 28-22 within the third quarter earlier than Coastal Carolina took protect watch over by merely executing properly as the better team.
The field for KU transferring forward is most likely this: As worthy as you preach ball security and caring for it … properly, stuff occurs. The Jayhawks fetch fumbled a pair events this year however recovered those. And in case you tumble on the attend of in video games — a predicament KU is liable to be in most cases — it’s easiest natural that riskier passes would possibly receive picked off.
Baylor’s just a small advanced to gauge simply because its final opponent, Texas Southern, in general played on the level of a first price high faculty team in a 66-7 loss. That skewed the Bears’ stats and furthermore makes it laborious to parse whether Baylor is that if reality be told a dominant bustle-blocking off team or one that merely looks enormous against an over-matched foe.
It’s on the least price pointing out that Baylor has entirely dominated this KU series nowadays. In level of truth, the Bears fetch won the final 11 conferences by an moderate rating of 48-12, whereas KU has hit double figures only once in their final six contests.
This feels to me admire a lower-scoring game as both groups strive to set apart the bustle whereas attempting to snatch strain off their respective quarterbacks. KU’s circulate-blocking off was critically troubling final week against Coastal Carolina, so offensive coordinator Andy Kotelnicki just isn’t any longer liable to power things within the circulate game except he entirely has to.
The underside line, though: KU has did no longer duvet its first two spreads whereas no longer committing a turnover. College football giveaways, through old be taught, fetch been chanced on to be price about five aspects every, and odds are that as worthy as Leipold knocks on wood, his team’s giveaway-less toddle is liable to raze sooner slightly than later.
KU will need to fetch a greater likelihood of slowing down Baylor’s offense than it did Coastal Carolina’s, however I furthermore detect the Jayhawks struggling to rating, especially if Bean can’t pull off the similar magic he did at events whereas getting constantly pressured final week.
I’ll take hang of Baylor for the take hang of and duvet, believing turnovers incessantly is the deciding part for the Bears in phrases of the Vegas spread.
Baylor 31, Kansas 10
Closing game prediction: Coastal Carolina 45, Kansas 10 (Staunch: Coastal Carolina 49-22)
2021 sage on picks: 2-0
2021 sage vs. spread: 2-0