UFC on ESPN 29 breakdown: Will Jared Cannonier add to Kelvin Gastelum’s tough stretch?

Jared Cannonier

Staple facts:

  • High: 5’11” Age: 37 Weight: 185 lbs. Reach: 77.5″
  • Last struggle: Decision loss to Robert Whittaker (Oct. 24, 2020)
  • Camp: MMA Lab (Arizona)
  • Stance/inserting vogue: Orthodox/kickboxing
  • Possibility administration: Correct

Supplemental facts:

+ Regional MMA titles

+ 9 KO victories

+ 2 submission wins

+ 7 first-spherical finishes

+ KO energy

+ Aggressive hotfoot and stress

+ Correct aggregate striker

^ Will shift stances

+ No longer easy leg kicks

+ Solid at some level of the clinch

+ Serviceable grappling capacity

+ Reveals improved getups/scrambles

+ Works neatly from topside

^ Heavy ground-and-pound

+/- 1-2 against UFC-stage southpaws

Kelvin Gastelum

Staple facts:

  • High: 5’9″ Age: 29 Weight: 185 lbs. Reach: 71.5″
  • Last struggle: Decision loss to Robert Whittaker (April 17, 2021)
  • Camp: Kings MMA (California)
  • Stance/inserting vogue: Southpaw/kickboxing
  • Possibility administration: Enticing

Supplemental facts:

+ “TUF 17” winner

+ 10th Planet jiu-jitsu dim belt

+ Wrestling contaminated

+ 6 knockout victories

+ 4 submission wins

+ 6 first-spherical finishes

+ KO energy

+ Aggressive hotfoot and stress

+ Unfaithful hand hotfoot

^ Correct left hand

+ No longer easy left kicks

+ Solid at some level of the clinch

^ Stable wrestling and scrambles

+ Solid from front-headlock

^ Will take into tale the encourage

Sep 28, 2019; Copenhagen, DEN; Jack Hermansson (red gloves) fights Jared Cannonier (blue gloves) at some level of UFC Fight Night at Royal Arena. Needed Credit rating: Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports activities

The fundamental tournament on ESPN points an piquant middleweight matchup that may pit hotfoot against energy.

Progressively making a gripping-hitting game since stepping onto the UFC scene, Jared Cannonier has made marked enhancements under the care of John Crouch and the remainder of the instructing workers at The MMA Lab. Now, transferring mighty extra without problems, Cannonier can shift his stance pre or post-aggregate, punctuating his presence with elevated assemble than before.

In most cases utilizing stress to assemble openings for offense, Cannonier keeps gripping photos on a hair-region off, piquant to come encourage forward or counter on the tumble of a dime. The ten-one year knowledgeable has also apparently picked up his stablemate’s knack for throwing the calf kick (or low leg kicks), exhibiting the flexibility to attack his opponent’s lower extremities from each and every stances.

Nonetheless, Cannonier is mild no longer previous being kicked or countered himself, as he’ll must admire the deceptively rapid fingers of Kelvin Gastelum.

Stepping onto the scene as an inherent stress-fighter who didn’t horror dimension discrepancies, now we indulge in viewed Gastelum’s inserting skills come to fruition under the tutelage of Rafael Cordeiro at Kings MMA. Having a historic previous of remodeling high-stage grapplers (in particular southpaws) into unpleasant strikers, Cordeiro has apparently imparted the identical facts onto Gastelum, who now contains crushing liver kicks or gripping leg attacks to his already potent punches.

Staying within the Southern California scene, we also indulge in watched Gastelum invent staunch enhancements to his boxing and footwork. Pivoting extra off of his true hand, Gastelum will usually capture better angles in picture to glean the jump on opponents mid-switch.

Though I’d grasp to explore Gastelum mud off his check true hook quite extra for this struggle, I also wouldn’t be greatly surprised to explore him mix in extra stage-altering threats.

Nov 2, 2019; Fresh York, NY, USA; Kelvin Gastelum (red gloves) fights Darren Till (blue gloves) at some level of UFC 244 at Madison Square Backyard. Needed Credit rating: Sarah Stier-USA TODAY Sports activities

Brooding about where Gastelum’s on-paper advantages lie, I’d no longer be greatly surprised to explore him strive to capture this struggle to the ground.

Despite trending faraway from your conventional offensive wrestling game for warm stretches of his profession, Gastelum reminded the heaps that he possesses official takedown skills in his struggle with Ian Heinisch and has worked with Henry Cejudo earlier than this Saturday. Even though he isn’t initiating or a hit the grappling exchanges first and fundamental, the Mexican-American fighter has a knack for turning issues around and making fights soiled when he desires to.

That acknowledged, Gastelum may per chance presumably also just mild mild hit some turbulence if he miscalculates his wrestling efforts with Cannonier, who has made noticeable enhancements in each and every the grappling and counter-wrestling departments.

Towards David Branch, we no longer handiest saw how Cannonier’s energy stacks up at 185 pounds, nonetheless we also saw him utilizing underhooks and cage defense extra properly than before. And despite the indisputable truth that the former heavyweight tended to care for guard quite too mighty for my liking in relation to MMA, Cannonier has just recently shown that he can assemble dwelling and whisk when a actually great, either by placing his toes on the hips and pushing off or turtling to face from difficulty spots.

The doable downside with that draw, nonetheless, is that Cannonier may per chance presumably also just no longer glean away with these techniques as without thunder down at middleweight.

Cannonier, in his defense, was once ready to thwart the encourage takes of Branch (who tried to abuse him anytime he turtled), nonetheless turtling may per chance enable for front-headlock grasps – which is a location Gastelum works neatly from.

A natural within a whisk, Gastelum displays a solid sense of positional awareness at any time when utilizing grips or transitioning from front-headlock grasps. And when he decides to glean going, the Arizona pronounce champion’s wrestling chops shine thru within the vogue wherein he goes about his commercial.

Whether he’s floating from a front-headlock sequence or utilizing a Peterson or Granby roll to assemble reversal alternatives, Gastelum is regularly a handful for any fighter no longer accustomed to that assemble of repertoire. That acknowledged, Gastelum is no longer previous giving his encourage when returning to his contaminated, as he’ll must thoughts the ham hocks that Cannonier uses to rating big in tiny areas.

Sep 28, 2019; Copenhagen, DEN; Jared Cannonier (blue gloves) is interviewed after defeating Jack Hermansson (no longer pictured) at some level of UFC Fight Night at Royal Arena. Needed Credit rating: Per Haljestam-USA TODAY Sports activities

The oddsmakers and public appear to be favoring the elevated man, record Cannonier -160 and Gastelum +125 at Tipico as of this writing.

Irrespective of who you’re favoring, here’s a gripping struggle to call for hundreds of causes.

Gastelum, who I was once first and fundamental having a indulge in a study as a stay canine, possesses the full skills to rating the upset on paper. Between Gastelum’s insane durability and his capacity to struggle, I’d no longer be greatly surprised to explore the Kings MMA consultant continue to exist early storms in picture to map again late thru stymying grappling stress.

Nonetheless given Gastelum’s propensity to each and every provoke and ensue in scrambles, I’m no longer obvious how mighty he’ll be ready to rating under this day’s requirements against a getup-savvy Cannonier (who has shown no mark of slowing down in fights at 185 pounds). Add within the indisputable truth that Gastelum has had traditionally porous defense in relation to checking kicks, and I believe that Cannonier’s pattern of destroying legs continues on this Saturday.

It’s admittedly no longer a confident decide as I’m going with the arguably less sturdy fighter by determination, nonetheless imagine that the extra visually negative combatant will most doubtless be Cannonier may per chance presumably also just mild the struggle invent it that a ways.

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